STEMM Institute Press
Science, Technology, Engineering, Management and Medicine
The Quantitative Representation of Market Sentiment and the Nonlinear Correlation Mechanism between Stock Price Fluctuations
DOI: https://doi.org/10.62517/jbm.202509526
Author(s)
Bohan Jia
Affiliation(s)
Jining Yucai High School, Jining, Shandong, China
Abstract
Market sentiment, as the core irrational factor influencing stock price fluctuations, breaks through the traditional linear paradigm in its correlation mechanism with stock prices and presents complex nonlinear characteristics. This paper reveals the threshold effect of emotion accumulation, the asymmetry between optimism and pessimism, and the dynamic transformation rules under market cycles by constructing a multi-dimensional emotion quantification system. Research has found that the relationship between sentiment indicators and stock price fluctuations is not a simple positive correlation, but rather forms a nonlinear transmission mechanism through paths such as investor behavior distortion and information feedback distortion. This mechanism profoundly influences the operational efficiency of the market and provides a theoretical framework for understanding the accumulation and release of systemic financial risks.
Keywords
Market Sentiment; Quantitative Representation; Stock Price Fluctuations; Nonlinear Mechanism; Behavioral Finance
References
[1] Dupor, B. (2005). Stabilizing non-fundamental asset price movements under discretion and limited information. Journal of Monetary Economics, 52(4), 727-747. [2] Zhou, L., & Yang, C. (2020). Investor sentiment, investor crowded-trade behavior, and limited arbitrage in the cross section of stock returns. Empirical Economics, 59(1), 437-460. [3] Wang, W., Su, C., & Duxbury, D. (2021). Investor sentiment and stock returns: Global evidence. Journal of Empirical Finance, 63, 365-391. [4] Xie, D., Cui, Y., & Liu, Y. (2023). How does investor sentiment impact stock volatility? New evidence from Shanghai A-shares market. China Finance Review International, 13(1), 102-120. [5] Aggarwal, D. (2022). Defining and measuring market sentiments: A review of the literature. Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, 14(2), 270-288. [6] Saravanos, C., & Kanavos, A. (2025). Forecasting stock market volatility using social media sentiment analysis. Neural Computing and Applications, 37(17), 10771-10794. [7] Wang, P., Wang, P., & Liu, A. (2005). Stock return volatility and trading volume: Evidence from the Chinese Stock Market. Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, 3(1), 39-54. [8] Zhou, L., & Yang, C. (2020). Investor sentiment, investor crowded-trade behavior, and limited arbitrage in the cross section of stock returns. Empirical Economics, 59(1), 437-460.
Copyright @ 2020-2035 STEMM Institute Press All Rights Reserved